CO-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll finds both GOP candidates, Ken Buck (R) and Jane Norton (R), with small leads over their potential Democratic rivals, Sen. Michael Bennet (D) and Andrew Romanoff (D). Buck leads Bennet by 9 points and bests Romanoff by 5. Norton leads Bennet by 7 points and tops Romanoff by 2. The Election Frontier currently rates this race as a Toss-Up.
FL-Sen: A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Gov. Charlie Crist (I) leading Marco Rubio (R) and both potential Democratic candidates, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and billionaire Jeff Greene (D). When matched up against Meek, Crist leads the pack with 35%, while Rubio has 28% and Meek takes 17%. When matched up against Greene, Crist leads with 34% while Rubio takes 29% and Greene takes 18%. A recent Rasmussen poll found Rubio with a slight lead over Crist. Meanwhile, Rubio set a fundraising record for the 2010 cycle, bringing in $4.5 million last quarter. The Election Frontier currently rates this race as a Toss-Up.
NV-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll finds Sharron Angle (R) leading Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) by only three points. Their poll of the race from last month found Angle up by 7 points, and their poll from right after the GOP primary found her up by 11. The Election Frontier currently rates this as a Toss-Up.
WV-Sen: Gov. Joe Manchin (D) will appoint an interim senator to replace the late Sen. Robert Byrd (D) on Friday by 5 PM.
FL-Gov: That same Reuters/Ipsos poll finds state CFO Alex Sink (D) leading Attorney General Bill McCollum (R) by one point. When matched up against self-funding former health care executive Rick Scott (R), she trails by three points.
GA-Gov: A new Magellan Strategies poll finds Secretary of State Karen Handel (R) leading the pack for the GOP gubernatorial nomination. Handel takes 32%, while state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine (R) and Rep. Nathan Deal (R) are tied for second with 18%. Polls have been all over the place in this race, but this is the first poll with Handel in the lead--fresh off Sarah Palin's endorsement and some seeming gender-motivated momentum.
MD-Gov: A new PPP poll finds incumbent Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) leading former Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R) by three points, 45% to 42%.
PA-Gov: A new Quinnipiac poll finds Attorney General Tom Corbett (D) leading Dan Onorato (D) by only seven points, 44% to 37%. The last two poll from this race have found Corbett up by 10 points, a comfortable lead but not out of striking distance, especially since Onorato has shown some fundraising prowess.
MN-06: A new Survey USA poll finds Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) leading state Sen. Tarryl Clark (D) by nine points, 48% to 39%. The most striking cross-tab is the gender divide: Bachmann leads Clark by 25 points while Clark carries a majority of women. This is sure to be one of the most expensive races in the country, as the conservative firebrand Bachmann reported raising an astonishing $1.7 million in the second quarter and Clark also raised an impressive $910,000.
TN-09: President Obama endorsed Rep. Steve Cohen (D) in Tennessee's Memphis-based 9th district today. Cohen also received support from several members of the congressional black caucus. Cohen, who is white, is facing a primary challenge from former Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton (D), who is black. Herenton's entire campaign message has been centered entirely (and unabashedly) around race.
Showing posts with label MN-06. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MN-06. Show all posts
Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Monday, June 14, 2010
DCCC Expands "Red to Blue" Program
The DCCC, trying to appear that they are in fact playing some offense this cycle, expanded its "Red to Blue" list of top challengers in Republican-held seats or open seats by eleven over the weekend. Here they are:
AR-01: Chad Causey (D), the former chief of staff of retiring Rep. Marion Berry (D).
AR-02: State Sen. Joyce Elliot (D), who is running for the seat left open by Rep. Vic Snyder (D).
HI-01: State Sen. President Colleen Hanabusa (D), who is facing Rep. Charles Djou (R), who won the seat in a three-way special election.
IN-08: State Rep. Trent Van Haaften (D), who is for the seat left open by Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D), who is running for the state's open Senate seat.
MI-01: State Rep. Gary McDowell (D), who is running for the seat left open by Rep. Bart Snyder (D).
MN-06: State Sen. Tarryl Clark (D), who is taking on the controversial and well-funded Rep. Michele Bachmann (R). Clark recently saw her primary opponent, Maureen Reed, drop out to give Clark a clear shot to the general election.
MO-08: Tommy Sowers (D), who is taking on Rep. Jo Ann Emerson (R). Emerson looks to be pretty safe at this point.
PA-06: Manan Trivedi (D), an Iraq War veteran who is taking on Rep. Jim Gerlach (R).
WA-03: Former state House Majority Leader Denny Heck (D), who is running for a seat left open by the retiring Rep. Brian Baird (D).
WV-01: State Sen. Mike Oliverio (D), who ousted Rep. Alan Mollohan (D) in the Democratic primary.
WI-07: State Sen. Julie Lassa (D), who is running to replace Rep. David Obey (D), who is retiring.
It's pretty hard to ignore how many "Red to Blue" candidates are competing for already-blue districts.
The Fix: "While Democrats insist they are still playing offense this year -- and indeed, it appears they can in at least a handful of districts -- they're mostly playing defense in the new Red to Blue districts.
Of the 26 total Red to Blue districts, 10 are open seats held by Democrats, 11 are held by Republicans seeking reelection, and five are open seats held by Republicans."
AR-01: Chad Causey (D), the former chief of staff of retiring Rep. Marion Berry (D).
AR-02: State Sen. Joyce Elliot (D), who is running for the seat left open by Rep. Vic Snyder (D).
HI-01: State Sen. President Colleen Hanabusa (D), who is facing Rep. Charles Djou (R), who won the seat in a three-way special election.
IN-08: State Rep. Trent Van Haaften (D), who is for the seat left open by Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D), who is running for the state's open Senate seat.
MI-01: State Rep. Gary McDowell (D), who is running for the seat left open by Rep. Bart Snyder (D).
MN-06: State Sen. Tarryl Clark (D), who is taking on the controversial and well-funded Rep. Michele Bachmann (R). Clark recently saw her primary opponent, Maureen Reed, drop out to give Clark a clear shot to the general election.
MO-08: Tommy Sowers (D), who is taking on Rep. Jo Ann Emerson (R). Emerson looks to be pretty safe at this point.
PA-06: Manan Trivedi (D), an Iraq War veteran who is taking on Rep. Jim Gerlach (R).
WA-03: Former state House Majority Leader Denny Heck (D), who is running for a seat left open by the retiring Rep. Brian Baird (D).
WV-01: State Sen. Mike Oliverio (D), who ousted Rep. Alan Mollohan (D) in the Democratic primary.
WI-07: State Sen. Julie Lassa (D), who is running to replace Rep. David Obey (D), who is retiring.
It's pretty hard to ignore how many "Red to Blue" candidates are competing for already-blue districts.
The Fix: "While Democrats insist they are still playing offense this year -- and indeed, it appears they can in at least a handful of districts -- they're mostly playing defense in the new Red to Blue districts.
Of the 26 total Red to Blue districts, 10 are open seats held by Democrats, 11 are held by Republicans seeking reelection, and five are open seats held by Republicans."
Monday, June 7, 2010
Daily Rundown: 6/7/10
FL-Sen: A lawyer for former state GOP chairman Jim Greer said this past weekend that Gov. Charlie Crist (I) signed off on a deal that allowed Greer--who's under investigation for criminal fraud among other things during his time as chairman--and his associates "to steer party money into consulting contracts that benefited them personally." Crist has denied all of the accusations, saying he was oblivious to all of Greer's criminal actions as chairman. Not only is this a major campaign problem for him, but also potentially a criminal one should Greer decide to bring Crist down with him.
OH-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll finds Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) and former Rep. Rob Portman (R) in a dead heat for the state's open Senate seat, each picking up 43% of likely voters. This is virtually unchanged from their survey from last month, which had Fisher up by a point.
IA-Gov: A new Des Moines Register poll finds former Gov. Terry Branstad way out in front of his rivals for the GOP nomination. Branstad leads conservative underdog Bob Vander Plaats 57% to 29%. These findings are at odds with a few previous polls, which had shown the race tightening up.
SC-Gov: A new PPP poll finds state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) unscathed by the multiple allegations of extramarital affairs. Haley leads the pack for the GOP nomination with 43%, followed by 23% for Rep. Gresham Barrett, 16% for Attorney General Henry McMaster, and 12% for Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer. Haley still has a strong favorable rating at 58-23, and GOP voters don't think the allegations are true by a 54-13 margin. At this point, a runoff seems likely between Haley and either Barrett or McMaster, who was just endorsed by Rudy Giuliani. But I'm not sure how much weight that endorsement has, given that Giuliani's a northeast moderate who finished sixth in the state's 2008 presidential primary.
AL-05: The NRCC appears to be warming up to Madison County Commissioner Mo Brooks (R), who unseated party-switching Rep. Parker Griffith (R) in the GOP primary. They have officially anointed him a "Young Gun", which is their top recruitment status.
MN-06: Physician Maureen Reed (D) dropped out of the race to take on conservative firebrand Rep. Michele Bachmann (R), clearing the path for state Sen. Tarryl Clark (D) to take the Democratic nomination. Reed offered a whole-hearted endorsement for Clark, citing that a "prolonged primary fight only assists Michele Bachmann" in getting reelected. So far, Clark has proved to be a fantastic fundraiser: she raised $513,000 in the first quarter and has $601,000 in cash-on-hand. That's very important because Bachmann, being the outspoken controversial conservative that she is, is one of the best fundraising incumbents in the country.
PA-06: The NRCC is playing some defense for once by enrolling Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) in their "Patriot" program, which is designed to protect vulnerable Republican incumbents. Gerlach survived the 2008 Democratic surge, but he still appears to be vulnerable despite the national GOP advantage this time around. He only won the seat by four points in 2008 and Barack Obama carried the district by 17 points. Gerlach will face Iraq War veteran and physician Manan Trivedi (D) in the general election.
SC-04: PPP also polled the GOP primary in the 4th, where Rep. Bob Inglis (R)--who has a conservative voting record besides his TARP vote--is struggling to survive an attack from his right. Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy (R) leads Inglis 37% to 33%, and a runoff seems likely.
OH-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll finds Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) and former Rep. Rob Portman (R) in a dead heat for the state's open Senate seat, each picking up 43% of likely voters. This is virtually unchanged from their survey from last month, which had Fisher up by a point.
IA-Gov: A new Des Moines Register poll finds former Gov. Terry Branstad way out in front of his rivals for the GOP nomination. Branstad leads conservative underdog Bob Vander Plaats 57% to 29%. These findings are at odds with a few previous polls, which had shown the race tightening up.
SC-Gov: A new PPP poll finds state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) unscathed by the multiple allegations of extramarital affairs. Haley leads the pack for the GOP nomination with 43%, followed by 23% for Rep. Gresham Barrett, 16% for Attorney General Henry McMaster, and 12% for Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer. Haley still has a strong favorable rating at 58-23, and GOP voters don't think the allegations are true by a 54-13 margin. At this point, a runoff seems likely between Haley and either Barrett or McMaster, who was just endorsed by Rudy Giuliani. But I'm not sure how much weight that endorsement has, given that Giuliani's a northeast moderate who finished sixth in the state's 2008 presidential primary.
AL-05: The NRCC appears to be warming up to Madison County Commissioner Mo Brooks (R), who unseated party-switching Rep. Parker Griffith (R) in the GOP primary. They have officially anointed him a "Young Gun", which is their top recruitment status.
MN-06: Physician Maureen Reed (D) dropped out of the race to take on conservative firebrand Rep. Michele Bachmann (R), clearing the path for state Sen. Tarryl Clark (D) to take the Democratic nomination. Reed offered a whole-hearted endorsement for Clark, citing that a "prolonged primary fight only assists Michele Bachmann" in getting reelected. So far, Clark has proved to be a fantastic fundraiser: she raised $513,000 in the first quarter and has $601,000 in cash-on-hand. That's very important because Bachmann, being the outspoken controversial conservative that she is, is one of the best fundraising incumbents in the country.
PA-06: The NRCC is playing some defense for once by enrolling Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) in their "Patriot" program, which is designed to protect vulnerable Republican incumbents. Gerlach survived the 2008 Democratic surge, but he still appears to be vulnerable despite the national GOP advantage this time around. He only won the seat by four points in 2008 and Barack Obama carried the district by 17 points. Gerlach will face Iraq War veteran and physician Manan Trivedi (D) in the general election.
SC-04: PPP also polled the GOP primary in the 4th, where Rep. Bob Inglis (R)--who has a conservative voting record besides his TARP vote--is struggling to survive an attack from his right. Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy (R) leads Inglis 37% to 33%, and a runoff seems likely.
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