Thursday, June 17, 2010

Daily Rundown: 6/17/10

AR-Sen: The first general election poll of this race comes from Rasmussen, and boy is it a doozy. It finds Rep. John Boozman (R) crushing Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) by 29 points, 61% to 32%. The crazy thing is that this margin sounds about right. At this point, The Election Frontier is comfortable changing the rating of this race from Lean GOP to Likely GOP.

SC-Sen: Politico reports that former staffers of wealthy heiress Linda Ketner (D), who narrowly lost to Rep. Henry Brown (R) in 2008, "are mounting an effort to place her name on this year's Senate ballot as an independent candidate against Sen. Jim DeMint." She wants to be the "credible" candidate in the race after unknown unemployed veteran Alvin Greene (D) somehow won the Democratic nomination.

CA-Gov: Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R) is up with a new ad--in Spanish--touting her opposition to Arizona's immigration law. For those of you who remember the GOP gubernatorial primary, Whitman seemed to support the law by denying that she had any problems with it and airing an ad with the image of a border fence in it. Whether Latinos in California will buy this is an entirely different story.

MI-Gov: Apparently this is a hot race to poll. Yet another poll, this time from Inside Michigan Politics, finds Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R) will a small lead over the rest of the GOP pack. He leads with 21%, followed by Rick Snyder with 15%, followed by Mike Cox and Mike Bouchard with 10%. These results are similar to a Magellan Strategies poll released yesterday, except this new poll finds there are a lot more undecideds out there.

AL-05: The wounds are starting to heal. House GOP leaders are now starting to get behind the campaign of Madison County Commissioner Mo Brooks (R), who ousted party-switching Rep. Parker Griffith (R) in the Republican primary earlier this month. Minority Leader John Boehner, Minority Whip Eric Cantor, and NRCC recruitment chair Kevin McCarthy--who all vocally supported Griffith in the primary--each gave a few thousand dollars to Brooks's campaign. He's also drawing some support from Alabama's congressional delegation, who also supported Griffith.

DE-AL: GOP activist Kevin Wade (R) is dropping out of the Republican primary, as he never seemed to catch on with the moderate Republicans of Delaware. That leaves businesswoman and philanthropist Michele Rollins (R) and developer Glen Urquhart (R)--who both have the ability to self-fund their candidacies--vying for the GOP nomination to take on former Lt. Gov. John Carney (D) in the general election.

NC-08: The same PPP poll that came out two days ago showing former sportscaster Harold Johnson (R) outperforming businessman Tim D'Annunzio (R) in the general election also shows Johnson leading D'Annunzio in the runoff, 49% to 39%.

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