Daily Rundown: 6/9/10

AR-Sen: The Service Employees International Union (SEIU) is refusing to promise that it will support Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) in the general election. The SEIU was part of a larger coalition of unions that spent millions of dollars trying to unseat Lincoln, and is not so quick to cozy up to her yet in her race against Rep. John Boozman (R). “Organized labor just flushed $10 million of their members," said senior White House official. "If even half that total had been well targeted and applied in key House races across this country, that could have made a real difference in November."

CO-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll finds both Republican Senate candidates, former Lt. Gov. Jane Norton (the establishment favorite) and Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck (the Tea Party-backed insurgent) to have small leads over their potential Democratic rivals. Norton leads Sen. Michael Bennet (D) by six points and former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D) by one point. Buck leads Bennet by five points and leads Romanoff by six.

CT-Sen: Linda McMahon (R) is out with an internal poll showing her down only 13 points to Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D), 51% to 38%. A Blumenthal internal poll had him up by a similar 15 point margin, but it was taken in the wake of his service record controversy. Public polling of the race has shown Blumenthal with bigger leads.

FL-Sen: Two new polls out in this race. Quinnipiac finds Gov. Charlie Crist (I) edging former state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) 37% to 33%, while Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) only picks up 17%. They also find Crist running about even with Meek among Democrats, and ahead of both of his rivals among independents--something he needs to keep up to have a shot at winning. Rasmussen finds a tie ballgame, with Crist and Rubio pulling in 37% apiece, while Meek sits in third with 15%.

IL-Sen: A new Rasmussen poll shows Rep. Mark Kirk with a slight lead over state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, 42% to 39%. Their last poll had Kirk up by eight points. This poll comes out at a tough time for Kirk campaign. He has been under fire for repeatedly misstating his military record. And he just lost the endorsement of two environmental groups, the Sierra Club and the League of Conservation Voters, who had supported him in the past. LCV's Tony Massaro explained: "We can no longer depend on how he is going to vote."

FL-Gov: Quinnipiac also polled the Florida governor's race, which found that Bud Chiles, the newly entered independent candidate in the race, will be a significant factor. If Attorney General Bill McCollum (R) is the GOP nominee, he would lead state CFO Alex Sink (D) 33% to 25%, with Chiles in third with 19%. If Rick Scott (R) is the Republican nominee, he would lead Sink 35% to 26% while Chiles would pick up 13%.

SC-Gov: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R), the underdog in a runoff with likely nominee Nikki Haley (R), is vowing to stay in the race, despite the Republican Governors Association's wishes. But he didn't attack Haley in a press conference today when asked questions about what the contrasts will be with Nikki Haley in the runoff. Perhaps he is ensuring that he will finish an honorable (a first in South Carolina) second place.

NJ-06: The GOP primary in this race, which is not on my list of the 102 most competitive House races but is still worth watching, is the only one that has not been called from last night. With 99.8% of precincts reporting, Tea Party-backed Highlands Mayor Anna Little leads establishment favorite businesswoman Diane Gooch by 61 votes out of more than 13,000 cast. I smell a recount. The winner will take on entrenched Rep. Frank Pallone (D), who has a $4 million dollar campaign warchest at his disposal.