House Ratings: 5/26/10

This is the first of many updates on the status of the most competitive House races in the country. I'll update the ratings further if there are any new developments in any of these races.

It looks as though Republicans are poised to gain at least 26 seats as of now.

Toss-Up (24D, 2R):
AL-02 (Bright)
AR-01 (Open)
CO-04 (Markey)
FL-08 (Grayson)
FL-24 (Kosmas)
HI-01 (Djou)
ID-01 (Minnick)
IL-10 (Open)
IL-14 (Foster)
MD-01 (Kratovil)
MI-01 (Open)
MI-07 (Schauer)
MS-01 (Childers)
NV-03 (Titus)
NH-01 (Shea-Porter)
NH-02 (Open)
NM-02 (Teague)
NY-24 (Arcuri)
OH-01 (Driehaus)
OH-15 (Kilroy)
PA-07 (Open)
TN-08 (Open)
VA-02 (Nye)
VA-05 (Perriello)
WA-03 (Open)
WV-01 (Open)

Lean Democrat (25D, 2R):
AZ-05 (Mitchell)
AZ-08 (Giffords)
CA-11 (McNerney)
DE-AL (Open)
IL-11 (Halvorson)
IN-09 (Hill)
IA-03 (Boswell)
LA-02 (Cao)
MA-10 (Open)
MO-04 (Skelton)
NJ-03 (Adler)
NM-01 (Heinrich)
NY-01 (Bishop)
NY-19 (Hall)
NY-23 (Owens)
ND-AL (Pomeroy)
OH-16 (Boccieri)
OH-18 (Space)
PA-03 (Dahlkemper)
PA-10 (Carney)
PA-11 (Kanjorski)
PA-12 (Critz)
SC-05 (Spratt)
TX-17 (Edwards)
VA-09 (Boucher)
WI-07 (Open)
WI-08 (Kagen)

Likely Democrat (30D):
AZ-01 (Kirkpatrick)
CA-47 (Sanchez)
CO-03 (Salazar)
CT-04 (Himes)
CT-05 (Murphy)
FL-02 (Boyd)
FL-22 (Klein)
GA-08 (Marshall)
GA-12 (Barrow)
IN-02 (Donnelly)
KY-03 (Yarmuth)
KY-06 (Chandler)
MI-09 (Peters)
MN-01 (Walz)
NY-13 (McMahon)
NY-20 (Murphy)
NY-25 (Maffei)
NC-08 (Kissell)
NC-11 (Shuler)
OH-13 (Sutton)
OR-05 (Schrader)
PA-04 (Altmire)
PA-08 (Murphy)
PA-17 (Holden)
RI-01 (Open)
SD-AL (Herseth Sandlin)
TN-04 (Davis)
TX-23 (Rodriguez)
VA-11 (Connolly)
WI-03 (Kind)

Lean Republican (5D, 4R):
AR-02 (Open)
CA-03 (Lungren)
FL-25 (Open)
IN-08 (Open)
KS-03 (Open)
LA-03 (Open)
NY-29 (Open)
PA-15 (Dent)
WA-08 (Reichert)

Likely Republican (1D, 9R):
AL-05 (Griffith)
AZ-03 (Open)
CA-44 (Calvert)
CA-45 (Mack)
FL-12 (Open)
MN-06 (Bachmann)
NE-02 (Terry)
OH-12 (Tiberi)
PA-06 (Gerlach)
TN-06 (Open)